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Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Earthquake Clouds... Are They For Real?



I work with a Chinese friend who clued me into earthquake clouds. Clouds that allegedly form before earthquakes. I am including some pictures.

A Chinese chemist, Zhonghao Shou, has predicted earthquakes based on cloud metereological data, and his correct predictions were correct to a statistically significant degree. Who knows whether this is correct? But, it's worth a read!

http://www.earthquakesignals.com/
http://www.earthquakesignals.com/zhonghao296/news.html

Here's the blurb from wikipedia...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earthquake_cloud

And, a quote from the wiki article...

Since 1994, Zhonghao Shou, a retired Chinese chemist living in Pasadena, New York and Seattle by elapsing, has made thousands earthquake predictions based on cloud patterns in satellite images with an accuracy more than 70%. Fifty of them, are verified by the United States Geological Survey (USGS). “Peer on” this set i.e. assuming earthquake data of the USGS without error and an earthquake at a point without radius, 34 predictions or 68% are correct in time, area and magnitude. Analyzing the 16 mistakes shows each cause from a satellite data problem, an earthquake data problem, or an experience problem of Shout as a pioneer. Even if blaming all the 16 mistakes from the clouds, this set is still on statistic significance, demonstrated by Monte Carlo Simulation with a 1 in 5,000 chance and by Brelsford- Jones Score Method with a 1 in 16,000 chance for a random guesser to successfully simulate this set.

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